New York state has already tested more than one million residents for COVID-19, leading to the uncovering of 324,357 confirmed cases (including probable cases) and 24,788 deaths, as of Monday evening. It remains the state hardest hit by COVID-19 in the country.
Despite obvious successes such as reducing the number of new hospital admissions (which fell below 1,000 on April 25), a high number of deaths from the disease continue to plague the state. New York state’s high death rate can be traced to the large population density, multiple initial introductions of the disease from Europe and the presence of several superspreaders.
A popular statistical model developed by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington estimated 27,865 total deaths by May 10, 31,448 total deaths by June 1 and peak total death at 32,006 on June 18. There were 226 daily deaths Monday alone.
It now seems Gov. Andrew Cuomo is looking beyond May 15 (when the New York PAUSE order ends) to reopen more of the state’s non-essential businesses. Last month, Cuomo revealed construction and manufacturing firms in less hard-hit regions will be the first to return to business.
“People are all talking about reopening, which we should be talking about,” said Cuomo in Rochester. “This is not a sustainable situation, close down everything, close down the economy, lock yourself in the home.”
On Monday, Cuomo revealed a more comprehensive business re-opening plan now divided into four phases across 10 regions. He said the progress of the rollout will depend on specific measurable progress against the coronavirus based on a set of requirements.
These requirements include declines in hospitalization rates, new cases and reported deaths, the availability of hospital and ICU beds, and expanded testing and contract tracing.